What's next? SF
The latest press does make it look like Larry is really aiming a SF for the next cup. Space was the big question and he talked about Treasure Island. I can't though see a significant building project making it through the litigious US system in time for a contest on a reasonable schedule.
I think Valencia was mentioned because it could meet the schedule. Newport was also mentioned, but not with much detail. Actually not with anything about facilities that are, or could be available on any reasonable schedule.
If it ended up in Valencia, we would be stuck with boats designed for their conditions in the summer, so not a particularly exciting show. Also, if we have a full complement of teams, boat size will probably have to be limited to get them to fit. I don't think Valencia will want to rebuild and expand their facilities.
Even more questions for Newport and it always had a reputation for light wind that was well deserved.
Of the three, SF has size and current problems, obviously, but the best spectating and more wind. Larry did say they would race in the bay.
I'm prejudiced towards wind.
I personally will give the teams a break on their only sailing this cup in ridiculously light conditions. That was what they were expecting when they designed the boats, so that was what the boats could handle. If you allow a very wide range of conditions then the teams are rolling the dice in a big way and you are less likely to see close competition. If you design a stout boat it will be heavier and the only way you will win against a lighter, but otherwise equal boat, is if the lighter boat breaks. The lighter boat is betting they will win more often then they break. Limiting the conditions ahead of time to a range that is reasonable for a particular venue reduces the Russian roulette in the design process.
Maybe the race should be someplace in the trade wind belt, like the Caribbean. Great publicity for the hosting port and a great environment for the sailors. The US has the US Virgin Islands and also Puerto Rico.
Or, to indulge in fantasy, how about Haiti? It would be a way to pump at least some money into the economy. It would be too late for the relief effort, but they have a continuing need. Of course, the direct contrast between one of the poorest countries in the world and one of the couple largest examples of conspicuous consumption in the world might just sink the cup for good. Or maybe it would lead to a large infusion of money into a country that needs it from a bunch of people who have the resources to make a difference.
Haiti problems have seemed so big that they overcome all efforts to fix those problems. Maybe those same problems make running the cup there impossible. OK, a fantasy.
Peter Raymond