What Do We Think About Climate Change

Discussion in 'All Things Boats & Boating' started by Pericles, Feb 19, 2008.

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  1. Boston

    Boston Previous Member

    ****
    Im still wondering what the hell he means when he says AGPLU alarmists or what ever that acronym is

    and please
    you really think I read every post
    Ive been limmiting it to one question a day in this thread if that
    although I just lost my job
    so today Im just sorta goofing off
    B
     
  2. Jimbo1490
    Joined: Jun 2005
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    Jimbo1490 Senior Member

    Anthropogenic
    Global
    Warming

    Or AGW, you *******:D

    Read it

    Learn it

    Live it

    Love it



    Jimbo

    Tonge completely in cheek
     
  3. Guillermo
    Joined: Mar 2005
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    Guillermo Ingeniero Naval

    I naively thought you were carefully reading what others posted and also reading the cites and documents so hardly search for in the internet and brought here for the sake of this thread, to be able to properly rebate your oponents opinions. Now I regret to learn it is not like that. What you're now saying means to me you are only listening to your own pre-conceived ideas and posting them here once and again till boringness, bringing nothing new into discussion for the rest of us to learn. A pity. :(

    Cheers.
     
  4. Guillermo
    Joined: Mar 2005
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    Guillermo Ingeniero Naval

    Like this? :D
     

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  5. Guillermo
    Joined: Mar 2005
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    Guillermo Ingeniero Naval

    Or like this? :D :D
     

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  6. Jimbo1490
    Joined: Jun 2005
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    Jimbo1490 Senior Member

    This explains a lot of the past couple of weeks of discussion, huh?


    Boston,
    Seriously, setting aside the Almighty Consensus, the case for AGW is surprisingly weak. And instead of getting stronger as time passes and with our more advanced data gathering capabilities via satellites and other means, it's getting weaker and weaker.

    The proponents of the idea that we must do something about it "right now!" (translation: elect me!!, elect me!!) have stooped to some pretty low lows to try and trump up their case, as I've pointed out during this thread. These tactics are not those we'd expect be employed by those with the more scientifically meritorious argument, but usually reserved for those with ulterior motives.

    Jimbo
     
  7. Pericles
    Joined: Sep 2006
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    Location: Heights of High Wycombe, not far from River Thames

    Pericles Senior Member

  8. masalai
    Joined: Oct 2007
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    Location: cruising, Australia

    masalai masalai

    OK, You win??? . . . It is toooooo bloody hot to argue and the second day of Summer! What next?
     
  9. Boston

    Boston Previous Member

    well that makes a strong case for you not reading or understanding the posts, doesnt it
    the Gallup pole presented earlier clearly indicates the opposite of your claim


    what was it someone said a while back about my not posting recent studies
    cause that looks like a pole from just a few months ago to me

    or is this tripe really asking us to set aside the agreeing ( consensus ) view and consider only the detracting view
    in which case, yes
    there would a surprisingly week argument for rapid global climate change
    brilliant argument guys
    and you wonder why I find this hole discussion fruitless

    unbelievable
    B
     
  10. bntii
    Joined: Jun 2006
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    bntii Senior Member

    As you have argued for the importance of consensus on your side of the issue, and argued that the pro-AGW consensus does not in fact exist, it seems a bit unfair to discard the importance of consensus at this juncture.

    A summary statement that the AGW theory is weak is your viewpoint and not the substance of the science or a summation of the points as argued in this thread. The evidence continue to build- particularly as "more advanced data gathering capabilities" come into play. Once again- as documented in this thread.
     
  11. Jimbo1490
    Joined: Jun 2005
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    Jimbo1490 Senior Member

    I'm trying to figure out when it was that I argued for consensus:confused:

    My posts consistently showed that the so-called consensus is a bit 'trumped-up' and over-hyped, and that it does not really exist. My statement that the AGW case is weak is based on what we can observe; the measured temperature. It's not doing what the AGW crowd predicted it would. My statement is based on the lack of causality observed in the paleoclimate. This is, again, not what the AGW alarmists predicted.

    Ten or 20 years ago you could have argued with some authority that when we get better ice and dirt cores, they will show a CLEAR cause and effect relationship 'tween rising CO2 levels and rising temperatures. That's EXACTLY what the alarmists were saying 20 years ago. I remember it well; that's when I was still a believer. But we both know that's not how it's worked out.

    20 years ago you could have predicted with some degree of authority that by the first decade of the 21st century, the climate will be 3 or 4 degrees warmer than it is now, in 1988. It seemed plausible back then. I remember Hansen's predictions from that period and what a stir they created. But now that we are there, and the observed temperatures are NOWHERE CLOSE to Hansen's predictions, such predictions have lost plausibility.

    Since the logical paradigm hasn't really changed much since then, and the empirical reality shows a great disparity with the predictions made previously using that paradigm, it certainly seems profoundly illogical to continue to put faith in predictions of dangerous warming in the near or far future based on that obviously flawed paradigm. It's clear to anyone not biased one way or the other, that the paradigm used has not successfully predicted a future state of the climate; it has failed.

    It is therefore logical to conclude that this paradigm (anthropogenic CO2 raises atmospheric CO2 which causes dangerous warming) has not accurately described the present, therefore it cannot be trusted to predict the future.

    Had Hansen's prediction come anywhere close to accuracy, you could rightly argue that the case for the reality of AGW had strengthened. If better ice and dirt core analysis had showed that whenever CO2 levels rose in the past, then temperatures were sure to increase afterwards, then you could rightly argue that the present-day case for AGW had strengthened.

    Tell me Thomas; What possible finding in ice and dirt cores could have dissuaded you from your faith that increased CO2 levels cause atmospheric warming? Is there a possible finding that could do that? If you answer 'No', then how can you say you are open-minded:?:

    Similarly, what empirical finding WRT measured temperature would dissuade you?

    Jimbo
     
  12. Boston

    Boston Previous Member

    are you high
    what does this drunken logic mean

    let me reiterate for the record
    I believe there is a substantial body of evidence supporting rapid global climate change
    I believe there is a extremely high probability that change is due to human interaction within the system
    I believe the majority of scientists in this field of study agree
    thus forming a consensus
    I believe there is some anomalous data that while preserved for consideration exists outside the data stream
    I believe you must have bean high when you wrote that last
    cause it made no sense whatsoever

    take the night off friend
    enjoy the stars and a moment with your girl
    drink lots of water later tonight and take a few vitamins
    it will help the hangover in the morning

    have a great time

    then try the hole writing thing again some time tomorrow night
    k

    down the hatch and cheers B
    I hope some day we can all shake hands and hoist a few
    B
     
  13. Boston

    Boston Previous Member

    Jimmy I think he meant that for me
    but Im pretty sure he would be cut off
    at least in the bars I hang out in
    best
    B
     
  14. Jimbo1490
    Joined: Jun 2005
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    Jimbo1490 Senior Member

    I was wondering how long it would take you to figure that one out:D You can save yourself the embarrassment and go ahead and delete it. I do agree with you though that he makes no sense:p

    Doh! there we go agreeing again:p

    Jimbo
     
  15. Boston

    Boston Previous Member

    no worries
    Ill leave all as is
    B
     

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