Global economic situation for liveaboard cruising yachties

Discussion in 'All Things Boats & Boating' started by masalai, Mar 22, 2009.

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  1. mark775

    mark775 Guest

    You are kidding, of course - organic farming? Do you know what they fertilize with?
     
  2. masalai
    Joined: Oct 2007
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    masalai masalai

    In a more sober frame of mind, Australia is a little indistingushed country that is probably destined to become a "hole in the ground" from which minerals have been extracted and sent elsewhere - - - and - - - if precipitation improves, a farm supplying lots of people with sustenance, - otherwise lucky in some respects as we are out of recession and only slightly adversely impacted by the consequences of the monster ****-up that USA has become with the huge debt burden and fiscal manipulation that is going on with the "money-managers" who have become world class experts at fraud, deception, theft - - - - etc...

    The problems are in a patch of your (USA) sandpit and as such it is beholden on the good and honest citizens to take unilateral action and remove all those corrupt arseholes of "money-managers" - Ben Bernanke would be a good start, but it is not for me to actively interfere in US internal matters...
     
  3. masalai
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    masalai masalai

    **** is a good start... plenty flows from USA - so there is an export market potential there
     
  4. masalai
    Joined: Oct 2007
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    masalai masalai

    http://www.moneymorning.com.au/contact-money-morning to subscribe and there is no "web version" so here is the email copy&paste - - -


    Morning reader,
    - Kris Sayce is busy finishing up Australian Wealth Gameplan today. So, I thought I'd share a few words with you this morning.
    - Yes, he did make me assemble my own chair. And, surprisingly it hasn't fallen apart - yet.
    - Kris will be back tomorrow, but in the meantime, grab a coffee and enjoy... "The signs of recovery being seen around the world are due to huge stimulus packages, which will only prop up economies for another 12 to 18 months before they collapse again."
    - Those aren't my words. They're the words of John R. Talbott. - Who's he? Well, he was recently in Australia for the Brisbane Writers' Festival - Call me uncultured if you like, but the Brisbane Writers' Festival doesn't sound like the type of event for a doomsday economist to pitch their tent. Especially not a former Wall Street investment banker. - But this is one banker, turned writer worth listening to. - His claim to fame is that he predicted the dot com and US housing markets crash. However, his comments have generated almost no attention in Australia. - Why? Probably because he doesn't share the "smile-and-pretend-the-Australian-economy-is-going-to-bounce-back-quicker-than-a-Hollywood-starlet's-waistline-after-pregnancy" point of view.

    - But Talbott's alarm about the next crash is valid. Yet it's been ignored by the mainstream media and politicians. Probably because it's depressing at best and at worst, it points to our economy falling in a saggy little heap. - So, why does Talbott have this bearish view? Simply because he believes China may have cooked the books.
    - That their economic recovery isn't real.
    - If that's true, it's a frightening thought. Think about how much Australia relies on China. It's one of the major supports to our export industries, especially the resources sector. - Yet the mainstream media continues to report that business and consumer spending will return as our commodities remain in hot demand. But what if it doesn't? China will only demand our resources if other countries demand its manufactured goods.
    - Or if the Chinese begin consuming more of their own products. - The problem for China is that much of its exports are being propped up by stimulus handouts. It's doubtful whether this can continue when the stimulus spending stops. And nor should it. - Unless, of course the banks go back to their bad old lending ways again. But that's a different story.
    - Either way it results in more debt. One of the reasons we're in this mess. - That's why Talbott has been outspoken about using stimulus packages to save economies from recession. He's pointed out that "Any positive number's coming out of Australia, the US and China are the direct result of huge government spending". - In other words, once the stimulus slows down, we'll be faced with another sharp down turn. - And that means our commodity-driven recovery will be short lived. He considers this a 'W-shaped' recovery. And the next down-leg is waiting to happen.
    - Of course, if you believe what you read from the mainstream commentators it isn't China that's kept the economy going it's been consumer spending... - Spending which has only been made possible by government handouts. - But what happens when government spending dries up? - Look, there are many factors to consider long term. Huge debt levels and retirement of the baby boomers will reduce individual spending and saving ability in the near future. - Crippling levels of national and personal debt and millions of retirees with inadequate savings means an increased cost to taxpayers. - It makes no sense to try and keep the Australian economy growing at its previous rate. Not when the growth is fuelled by borrowing from the future. History shows it hasn't worked in the past and it won't work now. - It's always a short term solution. It's like using sand bags to protect against a tsunami. It isn't going to work despite the initial appearance of success.

    - So while governments, corporations and the media are flouting the return of the boom, it's worth showing a lot of skepticism. - If Talbott is right, the second part of the W is coming and we'll notice it more this time.

    Other Stuff on the Markets
    - The S&P/ASX200 was yesterday to $4,831.10, while overnight on Wall Street the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 1.47% to $10,015.86. In Europe the FTSE100 gained 1.98% and the CAC40 added 2.14%.
    - The price of gold in Australian dollars is trading at $1,161.08, while in US Dollars it is trading at $1,062.85. And the price of silver in Aussie dollars is $19.56 and in US Dollars it is $17.91.
    - The Aussie dollar gained versus the US dollar and Japanese Yen, trading at USD$0.9153 and JPY81.81
    - Crude oil closed overnight at USD$75.18
    Shae Smith
    Assistant Editor, Money Morning Australia
    [Please note: neither the authors nor any of the employees of Port Phillip Publishing own shares in any of the stocks discussed in Money Morning unless specifically stated. The articles do not give trading or personal investment advice, but are intended to provide a useful, independent news and analysis service to supplement your own investing and trading. Consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.]
     
  5. sabahcat
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    sabahcat Senior Member

    So let me get this right.

    Anyone who has made and is making money from any other means apart from gold speculation is just LUCKY.

    Everyone else is a FAWNING CRETIN

    And anyone who doesn't agree with your opinions on gold or have some is a BRAIN DEAD CRETIN

    OK, I am seeing a pattern here, you have the bug well and truly in your brain.

    [​IMG]
     
  6. masalai
    Joined: Oct 2007
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    masalai masalai

    The point was money begets more money - - - and - - - corruption is down to a fine art in USA in Australia it is relatively "petty"... see here - - - - http://www.thecoastalpassage.com/editorial.html and elsewhere at the Coastal Passage site.... (Who released that image, it is not I Sir)... I did not exclude gold or those into gold buggery (again not I on the latter point)...

    Those who suck every word of the likes of a dinner or luncheon 'buffett' by their actions are fawning cretins..

    If you cannot recognise the historical fact that gold is the only and oldest means of effecting trade on its own intrinsic value... then do some reading and prove otherwise...

    All other transactions are by an unguaranteed fiat currency and even the old words "promisory note" have been removed and lots of other guarantees that stood until 1971 when the world mostly left the gold standard so that bankers and others could freely print (on paper or other media or electronically) unlimited amounts of money (witness Zimbabwe of recent times when several hundred trillion would by an egg) and now with the privately owned, for profit, US Federal Reserve Bank producing similar volumes of money, which has caused the devaluation of the US$ against the AU$ of some 40% since March 2009....
     
  7. sabahcat
    Joined: Dec 2008
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    sabahcat Senior Member

    Have a read

    Pay special attention to the bits in red

    http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2009/01/last-time-fed-devalued-dollar-to-save.html

    So unless you are buying Kooka's or Koala's it would seem gold is not currency at all, not to mention they have stolen it back before.

    Also look at the last six month gold price
    [​IMG]


    Not looking too good is it

    http://www.kitco.com/gold_currency/charts.htm?AUD
     
  8. masalai
    Joined: Oct 2007
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    masalai masalai

    sabahcat,
    Thank you sooo much... I will bookmark that link NOW - - Bloody Magic - - Now to overlay the Au$/US$ exchange rate particularly on the "real time" and 1 and 5 year scenarios....

    That requires quite a bit of analysis... and thought - **** it all - - what a *******...
     
  9. bntii
    Joined: Jun 2006
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    bntii Senior Member

    Mas- while we are all sitting here around the camp fire...

    Any chance that you would like to provide a very brief summary of why the gold standard was abandoned?

    Not- "so crooks could print paper for the outhouse", but the real problem with a gold standard and what was hoped to be achieved by switching.

    Also- why go back?

    While I am at it- why not just be satisfied with investing in the commodity and leave the fiat currency's to whither and die if you don't like them?

    You claim that the commodity (gold), is manipulated- all things which are traded are subject to manipulation- it's part of the game. You seem to suggest that gold is subject to a more nefarious game, to what end?
     
  10. hoytedow
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    hoytedow Carbon Based Life Form

    I could not AGREE more=100%.

    I could not AGREE more=100%.
     
  11. hoytedow
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    hoytedow Carbon Based Life Form

    OK, everybody. Its time to visit Florida. It will be a lot cheaper for Australians according to above graph.
     
  12. hoytedow
    Joined: Sep 2009
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    hoytedow Carbon Based Life Form

    The love of money is the root of evil.
     
  13. bntii
    Joined: Jun 2006
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    bntii Senior Member

    Yeah- but manatees scare me a bit.
    I'm not getting anywhere near the place.

    [​IMG]
     
  14. Bamby
    Joined: Jun 2009
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    Bamby Junior Member

    I found this to be a real good read on the subject at hand here. It's in pfd format which I hate though, and it's a long read but worth it. I'm going to go back over it myself and check out some of the links, didn't look at all of them yet. It will make Mass feel real good though for it was written in America and shows our own screw-ups that's affected us and the world at large.

    http://files.e2ma.net/21873/assets/docs/tj-autumn-09.pdf
     
  15. mark775

    mark775 Guest

    You know, I poke quite a bit of fun at Mas but, what anger he holds. Mas, if I sent you $40, would you go hire that girl to take your edge off?
    I hate them, too. What are with PDFs, anyway?
     

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