Dolfiman
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It is clear that safety is in the thoughts of all stakeholders for these offshore ocean races, moreover when including remote areas, as capsize risk is inherent to multihull when hard sailed for a race (and a race put more pressure that a record to break), and unfortunately statistics is not null.I would be in favor of making the attempt with two crew. The extra weight would be relatively low, but the safety and assistance factors would be great benefits.
I agree that two crew is of course a safety factor but with the paradox that the boat is then harder sailed, the risk taking is higher, and eventually does not prevent any capsize. Here above is the story of Multi 50 « Drekan groupe » capsize during the twohanded Jacques Vabre 2017, translation + original text in French :
Title : « The capsizing of the 50-foot trimaran Drekan Group in the Transat Jacques Vabre, could have turned into drama. One of the two seamen fell into the sea and was raised in extremis, at the beginning of the night, in 25 knots and 4-meter waves.”
Text :” Wednesday night, 300 miles north-east of the island of San Miguel, the Azores archipelago. The North-East wind is blowing at 25 knots with 4-meter waves. The weather is gusty, Drekan sailors redoubled their vigilance at the helm and the sheets. They are on the attack after doing the big back since the passage of a muscular front out of Bay of Biscay. The night has just fallen, the wind is not stable, the duo decides to roll the gennaker. The mainsail is at one reef. When maneuvering, the boat is assigned to the autopilot.
While Christopher Pratt is already on the front platform, Eric Defert ends up changing himself inside and getting ready to get on deck. The wind suddenly forced, the boat accelerates, impossible to shock the sheets. The trimaran takes off and propels the sailor on the front into the sea. The boat capsizes completely. Eric Defert is inside, safe. But no trace of Christopher, no sign of life. The skipper informs the race management of the gravity of the situation and exits through the survival window to join the trampolines of the overturned platform. Endless minutes in the wind and at night. Nobody on the platform, neither around the hull. Long minutes later, two arms appear along a float, Christopher Pratt is hoisted by Eric Defert. The sailor is recovered breathless, completely dazed. They return inside the central hull and try to regain their minds. Christopher Pratt came close to the absolute drama.
Upside down, the platform is relatively stable, with the mast and the entire rig apparently still in place. Inside the central hull, the situation is less comfortable. No way to update and report your position. In the overturned hull, water and diesel oil released from the tank. Fumes from the burned electrical and electronic systems mix with smells from the batteries became detached. Christopher Pratt remains in shock. Eric Defert decides to trigger the beacon and resigns himself to abandon the overturned trimaran. "He followed the advice of the race management which made him play the card of caution" complete Thibaud Georges, the co-owner of the boat with Eric Defert.
The Dutch freighter who joined them in the middle of the night launches a boat to recover them. Twelve hours after the capsizing, they are taken care of by the sailors of this freighter en route to the United States. The returned trimaran drifts 280 miles north-east of San Miguel. He approaches slowly (at about 1,5 knot) from the island” End of text
Ref : http://www.letelegramme.fr/france/transat-jacques-vabre-chavirage-de-drekan-groupe-le-drame-evite-de-justesse-09-11-2017-11734480.php
Also this info about the boat recovery option, I don't know presently the decision taken ?
Text « Suspended by the decision of his insurer, Thibaud Georges (the owner) was ready to take off Thursday afternoon for the Azores, to participate in recovery operations of the trimaran. But the boat will not be easy to locate since it drifts without a positioning marker. Will the 600.000 euros of the insured value be enough to engage a recovery device? It is the German insurer, the only one who has agreed to insure this kind of boat for the race, who will decide if he starts the operations. » End of text
Ref : http://www.letelegramme.fr/voile/transat-jacques-vabre-chavirage-de-drekan-groupe-le-trimaran-sera-t-il-recupere-09-11-2017-11734550.php
Next singlehanded races with Ultims (Route du rhum 2018, Round the world 2019) are already planned anyway, the question is now how to minimise at the best life risks in case of capsize, by rules on on-board arrangement to survive 4-5 days at least in an overturned hull in remote (and cold) areas while continue to communicate and/or be positioned, on some body protection too in case of violent capsize, on life line on the boat when manoeuvring, by pre-established plans for rapid rescue and costs coverage. When Ultims are semi or full flying, capsize can also come from just an ofni hit 30+ knots, and the last Vendée Globe showed that Ofni occurrence is far from null unfortunately, some specific design may be necessary here also.