Global Warming? are humans to blame?

Discussion in 'All Things Boats & Boating' started by hansp77, Sep 11, 2006.

?

Do you believe

  1. Global Warming is occuring as a direct result of Human Activity.

    106 vote(s)
    51.7%
  2. IF Gloabal Warming is occurring it is as a result of Non-Human or Natural Processes.

    99 vote(s)
    48.3%
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  1. troy2000
    Joined: Nov 2009
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    troy2000 Senior Member

    How do you think I managed to paddle so fast? That, and trying to keep from getting run over by Daniel....
     
  2. Maddie
    Joined: Jan 2010
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    Maddie Junior Member


    Yes, we are aware that climate has nothing to do with short term weather.

    The point being made was the variables in short term weather are many times less than the ones in the time periods used for global warming. If you can't predict these things accurately, you cannot have a chance for AGW.

    In case you did not notice we said NO ONE KNOWS why its happening.

    By the way. In any complex system with feedback loops, there is always change. Saying the climate is changing is stating the inevitable. Fear and hysteria over climate change is equivalent to panicking over changes during puberty.

    Outside of saying that we are in an interglacial and recovering from the last ice age, climatologists are not accurate, even statistically. Show me one and I will show you God. You should really read the published pdf research papers instead of saying these things.

    For example, the paper I quoted. + 5C degrees and 1000ppm CO2. Far above present values. The tropical rain forests flourished.

    All of the climate change doomsayers predict devastation at those CO2 levels. Tell me, what will you believe. The physical climate record or a "scientist" claiming his model shows destruction? When choosing between fact and theory, fact always wins.
     
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  3. hoytedow
    Joined: Sep 2009
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    hoytedow Carbon Based Life Form

    Trouble is, Maddie, these folks take theory for fact, and lack the power to discern fantasy from reality. Sad, really. One even thinks his goose is Cillie.
     
  4. wardd
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    wardd Senior Member

    what verifiable facts do you have to the contrary?
     
  5. hoytedow
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    hoytedow Carbon Based Life Form

    OK, I'll give you, your goose is Cillie, but that's all. Any recent pictures?
     
  6. wardd
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    wardd Senior Member

    none lately

    she is molting and i'm not sharing my goose ****
     
  7. hoytedow
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    hoytedow Carbon Based Life Form

    We don't like goose bumps anyway, especially in this heat.
     
  8. Boston

    Boston Previous Member

    your last statement is particularly interesting cause isn't your study based on proxy data and some pretty shaky data at that given your studying a period from the Paleocene-Eocene Boundary or roughly 55.8 million years ago. Please who are you trying to kid with this last bit about considering facts before you consider theory and then presenting a study based purely on really wide ranges of error like what is found in the paleoclimate recreations from that long ago.

    you might read back a bit in the thread and see whats already been discussed and were those discussions landed us cause you might find most of these type arguments have been thoroughly debunked already


    cheers and welcome to the group
    hopefully your of good sound character cause although I'm clearly going to be disagreeing with you on this one its nothing personal
    unfortunately some of our members in the past have taken affront to an effective debate to the contrary but I'm hoping we can keep it down to good clean fun

    cheers and welcome
    B
     
  9. troy2000
    Joined: Nov 2009
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    troy2000 Senior Member

    That is one of those statements that sounds reasonable, but makes no sense when you parse it out. I repeat: weather forecasts have nothing to do with climate predictions. You might as well say, "if you can't predict whether that duck is going to turn left or right accurately, you cannot have a chance for AGW." To claim that because some short-term predictions are inaccurate it's impossible to make any long-term predictions is preposterous on the face of it.
    In case you did not notice, I said CLIMATOLOGISTS know why it's happening. Maybe you should go discuss it with them instead of with me, and instead of blowing it off as some sort of conspiracy cooked up by politicians and bankers.
    Another irrational statement. No one has ever claimed that all change in climate is invariably bad. What they're saying is that we aren't going to like the results of this particular set of changes -- and we're causing them.
    Apparently, the vast majority of scientists in the world haven't 'read the appropriate pdf research papers' either, or they wouldn't be saying thEse things.
    No one has ever claimed AGW means the 'destruction' of the world. It means there are going to be changes we don't like, and a different environment than the one in which we and our modern civilization evolved, and that those changes are going to be relatively rapid and hard on us.
     
  10. hoytedow
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    hoytedow Carbon Based Life Form

    If they know, which I doubt, they are either being paid to lie or they are using corrupted data from an unreliable source. Remember East Anglia?

    Quack.
     
  11. hoytedow
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    hoytedow Carbon Based Life Form

    What is not to like about longer growing seasons and less frostbite?
     
  12. Boston

    Boston Previous Member

    I do remember East Anglia
    weren't those the guys that were falsely accused of some improprieties and then exonerated fully
    the findings were that the unsubstantiated accusations were brought about by some climate deniers

    pretty sure I remember that

    how about you :D
     
  13. hoytedow
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    hoytedow Carbon Based Life Form

    No, that was the other East Anglia. The bunch I am talking about fudged the data.
     
  14. Boston

    Boston Previous Member

    actually the accusations were dropped entirely

    some climate deniers guilty of theft ( and anonymously making wildly false accusations ) had hacked into the private mail of the university and after looking through tens of thousands of E mails sent or received over about a ten year period found less than a dozen that they then claimed "prove" wrong doing regarding how information is disseminated

    simply making the accusations again do little to fool those actually paying attention

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/jul/02/michael-mann-cleared
     

  15. troy2000
    Joined: Nov 2009
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    Location: California

    troy2000 Senior Member

    Where I live, the growing season lasts year-round. Any increases in average temperature are just going to be frying crops and evaporating water.
     
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